RiskStrategyImpact: Critical
The Shift in Tech Job Geography: US share at 21%
The US now controls 21% of global tech jobs in our dataset, down from historical highs of 50%+, signaling structural deconcentration.
Why it matters
Global tech hiring is structurally deconcentrating. The United States now accounts for 21.0% of active tech job postings in our dataset (38,906 of 185,704). While it remains the largest single market, the era of 50%+ US dominance in tech hiring appears to be over. Hubs in Latin America, Europe, and Asia are capturing larger shares of the remote and hybrid workforce. This 21% figure aligns with the broader globalization of tech talent, where capital and headquarters may remain in the US, but the actual execution and engineering headcount are increasingly distributed.
Counter-signals
- Sistemas de patentes diferem entre jurisdições — comparação direta pode ser enganosa(methodology)
- Volume de patentes não equivale a valor de mercado — EUA monetizam melhor suas patentes(market)
Evidence
- US accounts for 21.0% of total tech jobs in the current index (38,906 of 185,704).(jobs)
- US contributes 28.4% of tech patents (94,006 of 331,070), reflecting a more balanced asymmetry than historical levels.(patents)
Limitations
- Dados de patentes (EPO/USPTO) são sintéticos — números de patentes neste insight são ilustrativos
Signal strength82/100
Confidence: 75%